الموقع بوست

(The alliance of Houthis and deposed Saleh....gains and loss(analysis

الموقع بوست - Abdussalam Kaid
السبت, 07 أكتوبر, 2017 07:28 مساءً

After nearly two-and-a-half years of their alliance, the deposed President Ali Abdullah Saleh realized that his loss because of his alliance with the Houthis was more than his loss against his political opponents, especially after the recent developments following his large supporters in the Seventy field in Sana'a on August 24 To mark the 35th anniversary of the founding of the General People's Congress (GPC), a ceremony that was "last paper" or "last offer" of Ali Saleh, in his previous attempts to win the support of the Arab Alliance, and to present himself as the only one capable of eliminating the Houthis.
 
Comparing the speeches and interviews of the deposed Saleh after rallying his supporters in the field of the seventy in Sanaa, with his previous speeches and interviews, you will find a big difference and that is in the recent speeches are dominated by the language of courting the Houthis, whether by praising what they call "the revolution of September 21" and glorify their dead who have forgotten them With the martyrs of the September 26, 1962 and October 14, 1963 revolutions, or the exaggerated verbal attack against the legitimate authority and the Arab alliance.
 
His earlier speeches, despite the severity of his attack, were often against the legitimate authority and the Arab alliance, but were dominated by the language of quirks and the courtship of various parties, especially Saudi Arabia and the Islah Party. In one of his speeches, the Islah party was targeted directly, saying he was allied with the reformists and would ally with them. And ending with his last speech before the seventy field Festival in front of a group of his supporters, in which he attacked his Houthi allies, described them as militias, and ridiculed the lieutenant of their master Hussein al-Houthi.
 
Exploitation of absence and emptiness
 
Since the beginning of Asifat Al-Hazm operation, Ali Saleh has been appearing less on some occasions or through the media, despite his obsession with media appearances. This disappearance was due to the fear that his life would be endangered, especially since the first months after the start of Asifat Al-Hazm which made a bombing campaign on his houses, villas and military bases.
 
Al-Houthi group exploited the disappearance of the ousted Saleh to consolidate its authority in the unfreed provinces and moved in the vacuum left by his absence. The loyalties of officers and soldiers of most of the Republican Guard forces loyal to the ousted Saleh and his family attracted tribal loyalists and his family and used them to mobilize tribal fighters , And pushed Republican Guard and tribal fighters to the front lines, most of them came back as dead bodies without any military advance.
 
At the same time, those who describe themselves as the Hashemites remain in the capital, Sana'a, sharing government posts and the provinces they control, establishing businesses and malls, building villas and luxury homes, buying modern cars, living luxurious and lavishly and imposing huge royalties on businessmen, And the private banks under the pretext of "war effort", and accumulate funds in their tanks, and went to fighters on the fronts only crumbs from them.
 
Smooth grooming
 
As Saleh's group is increasingly marginalized and excluded by the Huthi group, the deposed Ali Saleh gradually began to emerge and tried to tame the Houthis in a smooth way, enabling him to strike a balance between his followers and the Houthis in terms of positions and gains. The legitimate authority and the Arab Alliance, which are essentially directed against the Houthis, who have imposed their control and deliberately marginalize his followers through the so-called "Revolutionary Committee" and the small committees emanating from it.
 
The first step for Ali Saleh and his associates was the announcement of the formation of what they called a "higher political council" between the two sides of the coup, which took place on July 28, 2016, and then the announcement of a government called the "Government of National Salvation" on 17 October 2016, to be equally divided between the parties of the coup.
 
Earlier, the parliament was invited to convene, and the pro-coup parliamentarians responded to that call. The first session was held on August 13, 2016. The aim was to give the so-called "National Salvation Government" the trust of the parliament .The announcment was distracted for nearly two months, and then was announced on November 28, 2016 equally between the parties to the coup.
 
All steps of the deposed Saleh and his followers to get back a part of their power from the hands of the Houthisvfailed. The so-called "Revolutionary Committee" of the Houthis remained active, and has the supreme authority, although was supposed to be resolved and replaced by the so-called Supreme Political Council, Eventhough the Houthis didn't trade with the followers of Saleh for his periodic presidency, which remained for the Houthi leader Saleh Al-Samad.
 
As for the ministries that belonged to the followers of the deposed Ali Saleh or his wing in the Congress Party, the Houthis imposed their control over them through so-called "supervisors," whose powers extend beyond the powers of the ministers themselves, as well as the continued physical, verbal attacks against Saleh's ministers and their deputies and other followers.
 
Gathering the diaspora
 
The deposed Ali Abdullah Saleh consumed all the means of smooth grooming of the Houthis. However, he did not find this. The exclusion of his followers continued in civil and military posts, and lasted for young and senior officials. With the increasing frequency of complaints and whining by the followers of the ousted Saleh, and then some of them began to attack the Houthi group and criticized through social media, the group began waving the "emergency law", and described critics of the followers of Ali Saleh as "fifth column" and "agents of aggression," and began A campaign of incitement against them through their media outlets and through the preachers of mosques loyal to them.
 
In the face of all this, the deposed Ali Saleh began to intensify his media appearance, meet his supporters and followers in Sana'a and its environs under the banner of the Congress Party, intensify organizational meetings for his followers in the party and open the door to membership. To sign them demanding the nomination of the son of Ali Saleh (Ahmed) to the presidency of the republic. All these steps were provoked the Al-Houthi group, and the leader of the group, Abdul-Malik Al-Houthi, ridiculed him in his speech by saying that there is someone who acts as a party organization, as if the country is about elections and does not suffer what he called aggression.
 
After the attempts of deposed Saleh to mend his sects, he began directing his first messages to the Houthis by inviting his supporters to rally to the Seventy field on the second anniversary of the "Asifat Al-Hazm" on March 26. During the crowd, the soldiers guarding the area were prevented from entering any slogans or pictures of the Houthis, and the images of the ousted Saleh, his son Ahmad and the slogan of the Congress Party (horses) were heavily distributed. Ali Saleh continued his media appearance and guided puzzles through his speeches to the Arab alliance, especially Saudi Arabia, and continued the process of placement for the Congress Party and organizational meetings of the party.
 
In parallel, there have been calls through social media and news websites glorifying the deposed Ali Saleh and praising his military strength and praising what he describes as his political leanings, and emphasizing that he alone is capable of eliminating the Houthis. It is remarkable that some advocates of glorification of the devils are good and preaching the return of those who are in power And occupy important positions in it, and reside in the Saudi capital Riyadh.
 
At the same time, information campaigns organized by the UAE and some of the leaders of the southern movement and some affiliated to the legitimate authority aimed at reforming the party and distorting its history, its political symbols, its activists and its media, and publishing lists of the names of its active media incited against them. There have also been campaigns to rid the ousted Saleh of all the country's destruction, and the reform party is responsible for this.
 
This culminated in leaks that a UAE initiative was being discussed and presented to various parties in secret, including a political reconciliation process that would lead to the appointment of Ahmed Ali Saleh as a consensual chief of the country, the leaks were confirmed by a French magazine specialized in intelligence, regardless of the Arab alliance's denial.
 
The price of momentary arrogance
 
In the face of all the above, the deposed Ali Saleh was wounded by what he described as "the arrogance of the moment." He took the 35th anniversary of the establishment of the Congress Party as an opportunity to show his strength and popularity and offer all he has to the Arab coalition, His latest papers and presentations turned into a political setback that had never been experienced in his political history. From now on, there are no organizational meetings with the tribes of Sanaa under the banner of the Congress Party, no letters addressed to the Houthis, no concessions to the Arab alliance or Saudi Arabia and the Islah Party and others. There are no supporters in the field of the seventy, no appearance on some occasions and celebrations, but only letters to the Houthis only, a sharp attack against the Arab coalition and the legitimate authority, and calls to strengthen the fronts of the fighters.
 
The Houthis realized the significance and hiddenness of the large crowd called by the deposed Saleh in the field of the seventy, which was preceded by a speech in which he ridiculed the lieutenant of their master Hussein Houthi, and described them as militias, and carried them and the deterioration of various services in the provinces and areas they control. All this meant that he intended to make a big offer to the Arab alliance to eliminate the Houthis and start a political reconciliation that would ensure his family within a consensus government and secure the political future of his family.
 
But the result was that he showed his weakness in front of the Houthis, and thwarted all the bets to eliminate the Houthis by his followers, and burned himself politically and embarrassed his followers and opponents alike, and reached the situation to stay under house arrest, and tried to distract from it to apologize for attending social events, and to assign a leader of the Congress Party to do his job instead of him.
 
The Houthi group will continue to harass and exclude Ali Saleh's followers until the various institutions are completely cleansed, except for those who will change his allegiance to them. Anyone who objects to imprisonment, physical assault or murder will be punished, as did the commander of his own guard, his private lawyers, and media loyal to him.
 
Last minute paradoxes
 
The deposed Saleh surrendered all the influence he had built for 33 years on a small group from the caves of Saada province in one moment to avenge his political opponents, took the front of the coup, and disappeared and left control of the void left by his absence. If Ali Saleh had initially taken a military approach to the coup and retaliate against his opponents, he would now take from him and his party a political front for the coup, recognizing that it is more than local, regional and international.
 
And the strange is that the military forces that he established and trained and armed and spent the ousted Saleh large amounts of wealth of the people, today became a large part of these forces loyal to the Houthis, and some of its members participate in the siege imposed on him in his hiding place in the seventy area, and spread around his hideout with military crews and civilian clothes, Some of them without any vehicles, watching cars passing by and out of the seventy area for fear of escaping from their hands, and are ready to liquidate him at any time they are assigned for any possible reason.
 
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